Time-series prediction for amount of airworthinessbased on time-delay neural networks


Creative Commons License

TATLI A., Kahvecioglu S., Karakoc H.

Elektronika ir Elektrotechnika, cilt.26, sa.5, ss.28-32, 2020 (SCI-Expanded) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 26 Sayı: 5
  • Basım Tarihi: 2020
  • Doi Numarası: 10.5755/j01.eie.26.5.25843
  • Dergi Adı: Elektronika ir Elektrotechnika
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, Aerospace Database, Applied Science & Technology Source, Central & Eastern European Academic Source (CEEAS), Communication Abstracts, Computer & Applied Sciences, INSPEC, Metadex, Civil Engineering Abstracts
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.28-32
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Airworthiness, Short-term forecasting, TDNN, Time series prediction
  • Erzincan Binali Yıldırım Üniversitesi Adresli: Hayır

Özet

© 2020 Kauno Technologijos Universitetas. All rights reserved.Troposphere and the first stratum of the stratosphere are intensely utilized atmosphere layers for the aviation activities. Due to the different performances, capabilities, designs, and equipment of the aerial vehicles, meteorological weather events that occur in the troposphere affect these vehicles at different levels during their aeronautical activities. Although simple aircrafts are more sensitive to the effects of meteorological events, they are especially preferred by flight training organizations (FTOs) in pilotage training when they are considered in terms of maintenance and equipment costs. In cases where inexperienced pilot candidates and simple aircrafts that are more vulnerable to weather events come together, analysis and prediction of meteorological parameters becomes more important in terms of preventing accidents and reducing risks, as well as proper planning for flight and maintenance. The purposes of this study are, first, to derive flight availability time-series for two different types of aircraft according to visual flight rules by using Meteorological Terminal Air Report (METAR), and then to establish and evaluate a prediction model by using Time-Delay Neural Networks (TDNNs).