A physics-based Monte Carlo earthquake disaster simulation accounting for uncertainty in building structure parameters

Homma S., Fujita K., Ichimura T., Hori M., ÇİTAK S. Ö., Hori T.

14th Annual International Conference on Computational Science, ICCS 2014, Cairns, Avustralya, 10 - 12 Haziran 2014, cilt.29, ss.855-865, (Tam Metin Bildiri) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Tam Metin Bildiri
  • Cilt numarası: 29
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1016/j.procs.2014.05.077
  • Basıldığı Şehir: Cairns
  • Basıldığı Ülke: Avustralya
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.855-865
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Earthquake disaster simulation, High performance computing, Monte Carlo simulation
  • Erzincan Binali Yıldırım Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Physics-based earthquake disaster simulations are expected to contribute to high-precision earthquake disaster prediction; however, such models are computationally expensive and the results typically contain significant uncertainties. Here we describe Monte Carlo simulations where 10,000 calculations were carried out with stochastically varied building structure parameters to model 3,038 buildings. We obtain the spatial distribution of the damage caused for each set of parameters, and analyze these data statistically to predict the extent of damage to buildings. © The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.