THE EFFECT OF FINANCIAL STRESS ON STOCK MARKETS: AN EXAMPLE OF MINT ECONOMIES


Creative Commons License

Saka Ilgın K.

Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, cilt.46, sa.2, ss.452-467, 2024 (Hakemli Dergi)

Özet

Increasing uncertainties due to developments in financial markets lead to uncontrollable financial behaviors. Financial stress indices are created by considering many financial indicators directly related to the financial system. So, examining the impact of financial stress indices on stock markets, which have an important share in financial markets is important. The paper aims to investigate the short and long-term effects of emerging markets’ financial stress index (EFSI) and global financial stress indices (GFSI) on the stock markets of MINT (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey) economies. For this purpose, analyses are made using the ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) Bounds Test method using weekly data for 10/01/2014-26/04/2024. It has been determined that EFSI and GFSI negatively affected the benchmark stock market indices of all MINT economies in the short term and that the negative effect continued in the long term. Still, it has been significant for only EFSI in all MINT economies, as an important results of the analysis. It has been determined that following financial stress indices can be a leading indicator for stock market investors. It is hoped that the paper’s results may be useful for financial market actors considering investing in these markets.