ARTIFICAL INTELLIGENCE TECHNIQUES AND APPLICATION OF MONTHLY FLOW FORECAST: FIRAT RIVER BASIN


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Nazimi N., Ertugay N., Yeşilyurt S. N.

International Research in Engineering Sciences, DOÇ. DR. MUSTAFA ALTIN, Editör, EĞİTİM YAYINEVİ, Konya, ss.5-26, 2022

  • Yayın Türü: Kitapta Bölüm / Araştırma Kitabı
  • Basım Tarihi: 2022
  • Yayınevi: EĞİTİM YAYINEVİ
  • Basıldığı Şehir: Konya
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.5-26
  • Editörler: DOÇ. DR. MUSTAFA ALTIN, Editör
  • Erzincan Binali Yıldırım Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Flow estimation is necessary for the operation, protection, control, management and optimization of water resources (Noari and Kalin, 2016: 141). Making river flow forecasts not only help regulate reservoir outflows during times of low flow of rivers to manage water resources, but also provide warning of upcoming stages for flood control. These accurate estimates also help provide accurate information for city planning, designing water resources projects, designing hydropower projects, preparing management plans and implementing practices that reduce the environmental impact of climate change.For these reasons, accurate estimation of stream or river flow is very important (Anusree and Varghese, 2016; Besaw et al., 2010). Many techniques and models have been used in order to predict the currents correctly and to increase the accuracy of the predictions made, and the development of these models have gained importance day by day. Recently, artificial intelligence methods have been used for hydrological applications such as precipitation-flow modeling, flood forecasting, precipitation forecasting, water quality modeling (Tayyab et al., 2016:108). ANNs, whose historical development started in the 1970s, and whose nearly 30 different models were developed in the following 10 years are the best work of technology that resembles the processing system of our brain and is inspired by our nerve cells. Within the scope of this study, monthly flow values were estimated by using adaptive neural-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Feed Forward Neural Network (FFNN) algorithms